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Method
Students make math calculations with different colors of beans to learn a technique biologists use
to estimate the total size of a population of fish.
Subjects: Math
Duration: One to two class periods
Group Size: Any
Grade Level: 6 - 12
Objectives:
Students will be able to:
- Describe the mark/recapture method used to estimate fish populations.
- Explain why it's important to be able to accurately predict population numbers.
Materials Needed:
- Two colors of beans that are roughly the same size and shape.
- One large jar for each team of students
- Calculator
Alaska Content and Performance Standards
Mathematics:
A-3: Perform basic arithmetic functions, make reasoned estimates, and select and use
appropriate methods or tools for computation or estimation including mental arithmetic,
paper and pencil, calculator, and computer.
B-1: Use computational methods and appropriate technology as problem-solving tools.
B-3: Formulate mathematical problems that arise from everyday situations.
B-4: Develop and apply strategies to solve a variety of problems.
C-3: Develop, test, and defend mathematical hypotheses
Background:
Biologists and wildlife managers can make better management decisions if they know the total
population size of a group of fish.
Determining the number of fish spawning in a small clear-water tributary is relatively easy.
Biologists can set up
weirs or
counting towers
and simply count the fish as they pass by. Determining the total
number of salmon traveling through the vast, muddy waters of the Yukon River drainage is a
much more difficult task. In these situations, biologists sometimes use a method to calculate
population called mark/recapture.
Biologists use nets,
fish wheels
, or some other method to capture salmon. They insert a
numbered plastic tag
in
the fish's back near the dorsal fin, then release it back into the river. At a point farther upriver,
biologists use the same method to recapture fish. Here, they keep track of the total number of
marked and unmarked fish caught. With this information, they can do the following calculation:
Estimated Population = MC divided by R
M = Fish caught and tagged in the marking event
C = Total fish recaptured
R = Total recaptured fish that were also tagged
For example, in the marking event, you catch and tag 100 salmon. In the recapture event, you
catch a total of 90 salmon. Of these, 10 have the plastic tags. Using this information you do the
following calculation:
100 Fish Caught and Tagged x 90 Total recaptured fish
10 Recaptured fish that had tags
100 x 90 = 9,000
10
Or, there are approximately 900 fish in the total population.
Procedure
Count out 1000 white beans and place them in a large jar before the activity. (Less than 1,000
will be too small for accurate calculations) Have the students count out 100 red beans to
represent
the fish tagged in the capture event. Add these to the jar and shake it well.
Pour the mixed beans out onto a tray and have the students count out 100 beans without looking
them. This will represent the total fish caught in the recapture event. Then, have the students
count out the number of tagged fish caught in this sample (the red beans). Plug these numbers
into
the equation to determine the total population of fish. Have the students count the actual number
of beans to see how close their calculations came. Discuss the possible causes for any
discrepancies.
Form the students into teams. Have each group retry this experiment with an unknown number of
beans in each jar. Have teams experiment with larger and smaller sample sizes to see who can
make the most accurate prediction of the sample size. Discuss the results.
Extensions:
- Have a fisheries biologist visit your class and describe the methods they use to learn about
fish.
- Calculate the ratio of tagged to untagged fish being caught in local nets or fish wheels.
Compare your results with a school located on another tributary within the upper Yukon River
drainage.
Text and graphics by USFWS staff
Last modified 4, March,2009
Cyber Salmon
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