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Activities
Method
Subjects: Math Duration: One to two class periods Group Size: Any Grade Level: 6 - 12
Objectives:
Alaska Content and Performance Standards Mathematics: A-3: Perform basic arithmetic functions, make reasoned estimates, and select and use appropriate methods or tools for computation or estimation including mental arithmetic, paper and pencil, calculator, and computer. B-1: Use computational methods and appropriate technology as problem-solving tools. B-3: Formulate mathematical problems that arise from everyday situations. B-4: Develop and apply strategies to solve a variety of problems. C-3: Develop, test, and defend mathematical hypotheses
Background:
Determining the number of fish spawning in a small clear-water tributary is relatively easy. Biologists can set up weirs or counting towers and simply count the fish as they pass by. Determining the total number of salmon traveling through the vast, muddy waters of the Yukon River drainage is a much more difficult task. In these situations, biologists sometimes use a method to calculate population called mark/recapture. Biologists use nets, fish wheels , or some other method to capture salmon. They insert a numbered plastic tag in the fish's back near the dorsal fin, then release it back into the river. At a point farther upriver, biologists use the same method to recapture fish. Here, they keep track of the total number of marked and unmarked fish caught. With this information, they can do the following calculation:
Estimated Population = MC
R
M = Fish caught and tagged in the marking event
For example, in the marking event, you catch and tag 100 salmon. In the recapture event, you catch a total of 100 salmon. Of these, 10 have the plastic tags. Using this information you do the following calculation:
100 Fish Caught and Tagged x 100 Total recaptured fish
10 Recaptured fish that had tags
100 x 100 = 10,000
10 10
Or, there are approximately 1000 fish in the total population.
Procedure
Pour the mixed beans out onto a tray and have the students count out 100 beans without looking them. This will represent the total fish caught in the recapture event. Then, have the students count out the number of tagged fish caught in this sample (the red beans). Plug these numbers into the equation to determine the total population of fish. Have the students count the actual number of beans to see how close their calculations came. Discuss the possible causes for any discrepancies. Form the students into teams. Have each group retry this experiment with an unknown number of beans in each jar. Have teams experiment with larger and smaller sample sizes to see who can make the most accurate prediction of the sample size. Discuss the results. Extensions:
Text and graphics by USFWS staff Last modified 18 January, 2006 |